Averages are recorded every two weeks from the last 5 listed polls on this Wikipedia article.
While that article is extremely useful and well detailed, one poll on its own does not really mean much, and they are not that specific (there are no finer details down to decimals in UK polling). Providing an average of 5 polls in one go is an effective way of dealing with these issues.
Any polls that record the whole of the UK are not factored in as they noticeably skew the results, are generally not done very often, and result in us having to make weird exceptions to stuff on this page which is annoying for everyone. This includes all Techne polls. The other 4 polls at the time of recording are relied upon instead.
If a pollster records just GB but rudely ignores Plaid Cymru (looking at you Freshwater. angry face.) then we count their poll with the exception of the Others column. Thanks for forcing us to make yet another exception. ffs.
Some of these may be rounded. If the decimal in the hundredths position is 5 then it is rounded up (so 0.75% -> 0.8%).
A link to a prefilled Electoral Calculus seat projection is provided for each entry but users should be warned that it may be inaccurate as FPTP makes such predictions much harder. Despite this, it should give you a generally correct overview of which party would have the most seats. In our poll table, the largest party and their number of seats is shown in the column. You can click this and it will take you to the projection.
If a party is projected to gain a majority, the projection entry for that week will be highlighted.
It usually takes a week or two for major events like these to affect voter choice, if at all.
| Date | What happened | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-25 | Most of the effects of the extremely controversial Online Safety Act begin applying, censoring a large chunk of the internet. It is backed by both Labour and the Conservatives. The Wikipedia admins mull heavily throttling traffic from the UK, in order to avoid unworkable restrictions. | Source |
| 2025-07-24 | Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana begin a campaigning drive for their new political party, which doesn't have a name yet. The mainstream media initially incorrectly reports its name as being "Your Party", despite that only being a slogan. | Source |
| 2025-07-19 | New RSE guidance for England restricts what can be taught about trans people in schools and pushes transphobic narratives. It was received with overwhelmingly negative feedback from the LGBT community and has been compared to Section 28. | Source |
| 2025-06-05 | Reform's chairman Zia Yusuf, a Muslim, resigns after an internal row over banning burqas. | Source |
| 2025-05-22 | The UK signs the Chagos deal, opposed by both the Conservatives and Reform. | Source |
| 2025-05-02 | It is confirmed that Reform's Sarah Pochin won the Runcorn and Helsby by-election, held the day before, following recounts which took several hours. She received 6 votes more than her opponent Karen Shore of Labour, the lowest ever vote majority in a by-election. | Source |
| 2025-05-01 | English local elections take place. Reform receives the most seats, followed by the Liberal Democrats. Labour and the Conservatives lose the majority of the seats they were fighting to hold. | Source |
For a LOESS graph, refer to Wikimedia Commons: Opinion polling graph for the next United Kingdom general election. The Cat Uprising Society is not involved in the updating of this graph. It includes all polling since the general election.
In this table we track the Labour Party, the Conservative Party, Reform UK, the Liberal Democrats, the Greens (including the Scottish Green Party and the Green Party of England and Wales), the Scottish National Party, and Plaid Cymru.
| → Recorded | Projection | Lab | Con | Ref | Lib | Grn | SNP | PC | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-08 | Ref 384 | 21.4% | 17.2% | 30.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 9.4% |
| 2025-08-01 | Ref 374 | 22.0% | 17.4% | 30.8% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 4.4% | 8.8% |
| 2025-07-25 | Ref 347 | 22.0% | 18.3% | 29.3% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 7.3% |
| 2025-07-18 | Ref 355 | 22.2% | 17.6% | 29.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 7.4% |
| 2025-07-11 | Ref 332 | 23.3% | 18.3% | 29.3% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% |
| 2025-07-04 | Ref 322 | 23.8% | 17.3% | 28.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% |
| 2025-06-27 | Ref 317 | 23.8% | 18.5% | 28.5% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% |
| 2025-06-20 | Ref 344 | 23.2% | 17.8% | 29.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 6.2% |
| 2025-06-13 | Ref 344 | 23.0% | 18.5% | 29.8% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.8% |
| 2025-06-06 | Ref 344 | 23.0% | 18.0% | 29.5% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 6.5% |
| 2025-05-30 | Ref 371 | 21.7% | 18.0% | 30.7% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 9.0% |
| 2025-05-23 | Ref 354 | 22.5% | 17.8% | 30.0% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 7.5% |
| 2025-05-16 | Ref 352 | 22.8% | 18.3% | 30.3% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 7.5% |
| 2025-05-09 | Ref 361 | 21.8% | 18.3% | 30.3% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 8.5% |
| 2025-05-02 | Ref 268 | 23.4% | 20.8% | 26.3% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| 2025-04-25 | Ref 274 | 22.0% | 20.8% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% |
| 2024-11-30 | Lab 310 | 27.5% | 27.3% | 20.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| 2024-08-09 | Lab 378 | 35.0% | 27.3% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% |
| 2024 general election (GB) | Lab 411 | 34.7% | 24.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 3.5% | 10.3% |
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